Monday, November 10, 2014

Cold Front before the COLD Air Invasion

Quite an interesting setup MiddleTN will experience next several days as we have one more "Mild Day" as MOS Guidance suggests Highs in the Mid-Upper 60°s here in Nashville & Low-Mid 60°s in the Plateau.

HERE are the Normals for our Area as of November 10th. Like I mentioned, Tuesday should read above Normal for many of us

TUESDAY:
The Cold Front from the North & West will usher in some moisture but it will NOT be a Severe Weather event, just some increasing clouds in the Afternoon and Showers by the Evening Rush Hour. Not expecting a lot of rain, but enough to moisten the grounds.  NAM/GFS 0z model guidance both show the Front and Rain chances across MidTN






























LATE WEEK:

Say "Good Bye" to the T-Shirts and welcome in "winter coats" and "Sweaters" as our Weather Pattern shifts to the COLDER side.  Many have heard the so-called Polar Vortex striking the Eastern 1/2 of the Country well get over it...Many of us Meteorologists know of it and don't like to call it, as many weather enthusiasts and media Hype it up for everyone.


<< GREAT Write-Up discussing what is occurring.  The Jet Stream choke a piece of this cold air and dropping South for a few days AND some Moisture is possible that could create some concerns late weekend...more on that later.


  The CORE of the Cold Arctic Air will stay in the Great Lakes as MidTN will stay about 70-80% Below Normal for next several days.

HIGHS should climb only in the 40's and LOWS will drop likely in the 30's and some Mid 20's in a few outlying areas.











LATE WEEKEND "WINTRY" SETUP

Don't get too Hyped up, Snow Lovers.  Its still 5 Days away but a chance of Wintry Precip is possible when a Low forms to our South from TX and moves East along the Atlantic Coast. Just enough Cold Air is possible with this moisture to the South could "over-run" and bring chances of Snow/Mix by Sunday.  Could become a Cold Rain event by Late Saturday & Early Sunday, BUT the GFS shows a Cooler Trend of Snow by Sunday Aftn/PM

*  The EURO Model suggests it to be a little weaker, not much precip and a little warmer once the wave moves in, thus it could be a Rain Shower chance.

* Canadian (GEM) Model shows NOTHING with this wave, but cooler and dry as this front passes.



Still a long ways away til we Snow Chances here in the Music City, BUT the anomalies are trending Cooler and Wintry Precipitation possible.












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