11/16: Mid-November SNOW

Quite an interesting Setup we have for parts of the Ohio/TN Valleys this late Sunday Evening.

LOTS of Cold Air from the High Plains and Canada is carving down in our neck of the Woods and mixing in at the surface with lots of moisture from the Gulf as a new Surface Low is deepening in MS/AL.  Our atmosphere here in MidTN is 'Just' a little warmer so we should see more Rain thru overnight as the changeover will be brief for a few hours with Lgt Snow falling.
  ** HEAVIER Amounts of Banding (Deformation) will likely stay North along the Ohio River in the Louisville area where some could see a Half-Foot or more into Ohio..


COOL and Breezy for Monday as the Snow tapers off after Noon while the Low races off toward the North and East.

SNOW AMOUNTS are shown below (Nashville area) from different Model Guidance sites I use to Forecast

Iowa St Meteogram

HI-RES RAPID REFRESH

-- The Hi-Res shows a broad area of a Tr-1" across MidTN, but it just depends on how much "Dynamic Cooling" we can see this evening IF you want higher amounts. North/NW of Nashville will likely see 1" or so.  2nd Band could form near Louisville where it could dump 3-5" in Isol'd spot.  I do like the 2-4" range for the Derby City.

-- This is the 4km RPM showing that strong band of 4-6" just N of Louisville along the Ohio River and maybe 3-5" along I-71 if you have travel plans toward Cincy.

-- A broad 2-4" is likely for North-Central KY and farther into Southern KY maybe an Inch or so; closer to 2" in Isol'd heavier band.

-- HERE, the RPM for MidTN and WesternTN shows a streak of a Dusting to 1" W of I-65 to Memphis, even in AR/MO.  Just think our Temperatures in the mid-40°s all day kept us "warmer" as the Cold Air will take a much longer time to see the change over.

SNOW Showers are likely with very minor amounts and I like Nashville seeing a Dusting-1/2"... closer to 1" along the KY/TN Line.
-South of Nashville could likely see upto a Dusting.