3/4: WINTER STORM on its way for the I-65 Corridor

TONIGHT: Its the plain 'ole liquid Rain Showers for several of us through the Overnight.

   ** As of 11PM Central, most of the rain is situated along and South of the Ohio River.  The rain-shield will slowly shift South, as a few could hear a rumble of Thunder during the Overnight with some Heavier Showers forming in the muggy, mild Mid 60°s Airmass ahead of the Cold Front.  

** DO YOU SEE the Changeover in Missouri?  The Snow/Sleet will slowly trek South as the Arctic Air moves in Wednesday.

WEDNESDAY:  It will be a day full of Transitions...from  Precipitation and Temperatures.  Everyone will see a "Cold Rain" through the Morning and Early Afternoon Hours.  

  - Bowling Green should see the changeover from Rain to Sleet by Late Afternoon-Early Evening. As for the Snow timing, looks to be all Snow as early as 9pm..but right before Midnight is a good time frame.  Periods of Moderate-Heavy SNOW should increase through the Overnight Hours. Snow should lighten up by mid-morning THURSDAY and turn drier little after Noon.

- Nashville will experience the "Transition" a little later than Bowling Green, being a little warmer than Bowling Green.  ALL RAIN through the Morning, Afternoon and Early Evening Hours as of right now.  Wintry Mix/Sleet looks to change over between 9PM-12AM, I do expect "Lots" of SLEET for MiddleTN/Nashville as the Warm Air profile may support in the mid-levels; I think this is where the Boundary Stalls.

AMOUNTS: * via 0z Evening Data

-- The "Heaviest" band of Snow via GFS is carving right across Central KY (6-10") and lesser amounts farther South into Middle TN.

-- As for Middle TN, looking to be 1-3" amounts in Nashville Area through Thursday late morning

-- Here is the NAM Model.  Its showing quite aggressive amounts more than the GFS.  I think they may be adding some Sleet Amounts.

IF this verifies, your looking at a swath of over a FOOT from Paducah-Louisville-Lexington.

At least 6-12" for Southern KY, and a Few Inches for MiddleTN.

RPM Model, however, is certainly an Outlier for any Snow Lover in KY.  Hardly anything (1-3") as where the Snow drops South into our area of Middle TN (3-6").  Hard to take this one in account,  but we have to watch trends IF any of the other models drop South.

ONE MORE THING...

I also use the Iowa St Meteogram that provides Ranges from Models and includes the NWS thoughts for certain cities.  Here is what the Meteogram suggests...

Nashville: 1-3" (Snow); 1/3"- 2/3" (Sleet);  .10"-.20" (Freezing Rain)

Bowling Green: 4-9" (Snow); .25"-.50" (Sleet); .10"-.25" (Freezing Rain)

Louisville: 6-12" (Snow) ; .20"-.40" (Sleet)

** I think the worse of the Snow will stay North of Middle TN into KY once again.  Freezing Rain doesn't look as threatening though, since i think there will be "not as much" warmer air in the Mid-Levels.  Sleet will be the worse but a 1-3" is possible for much of Nashville Area..and 2-5" for Northern Tier of the State.  ***